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As independent money managers, we provide long-term wealth and estate preservation strategies and prudent investment advice in a challenging environment for investors. If you are looking for an asset manager or money manager who adjusts investment allocations to align with present market conditions, Ciovacco Capital Management may be a good fit for you.


Stock Market Blog - Investment Blog - Ciovacco Capital - Atlanta
The CCM Bull Market Sustainability Index
A Submodel Feeding Into Master Model

The master CCM Market Model uses input from five submodels to leverage the benefits of approach/method diversification. One of the submodels, the CCM Bull Market Sustainability Index (BMSI), is an objective scoring system that helps the master CCM Market Model probabilistically discern between a correction in a bull market and the possible onset of a new bear market.

CCM Market Model - Submodels - Ciovacco Capital - Atlanta

Discerning between normal market volatility and volatility that may lead to a new bear market is a difficult task. Selling to protect principal just prior to the end of a market correction can be extremely frustrating. Conversely, blindly holding your ground as a bear market eats away at your portfolio is less than desirable.

CCM BMSI - CCM Atlanta

CCM BMSI Data Sets And Process

The logic flow of the chart below is from left to right and from top to bottom.


The BMSI (described above) is used in conjunction with the CCM Market Risk Model and CCM 80-20 Correction Index.

Additional comments can be found in Short Takes.

Chris Ciovacco
Ciovacco Capital Management

Stock Market Blog By Chris Ciovacco of Ciovacco Capital

Chris Ciovacco is the Chief Investment Officer for Ciovacco Capital Management, LLC. More on the web at www.ciovaccocapital.com

Terms of Use. The charts and comments are only the author's view of market activity and aren't recommendations to buy or sell any security. Market sectors and related ETFs are selected based on his opinion as to their importance in providing the viewer a comprehensive summary of market conditions for the featured period. Chart annotations aren't predictive of any future market action rather they only demonstrate the author's opinion as to a range of possibilities going forward. All material presented herein is believed to be reliable but we cannot attest to its accuracy. The information contained herein (including historical prices or values) has been obtained from sources that Ciovacco Capital Management (CCM) considers to be reliable; however, CCM makes no representation as to, or accepts any responsibility or liability for, the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein or any decision made or action taken by you or any third party in reliance upon the data. Some results are derived using historical estimations from available data. Investment recommendations may change and readers are urged to check with tax advisors before making any investment decisions. Opinions expressed in these reports may change without prior notice. This memorandum is based on information available to the public. No representation is made that it is accurate or complete. This memorandum is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell the securities mentioned. The investments discussed or recommended in this report may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial position. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. The price or value of the investments to which this report relates, either directly or indirectly, may fall or rise against the interest of investors. All prices and yields contained in this report are subject to change without notice. This information is based on hypothetical assumptions and is intended for illustrative purposes only. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS.